3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
24.63%
increased by 3.41%
1 Week
24.77%
increased by 3.55%
1 Month
25.33%
increased by 4.11%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1913 | 3.30 | |
| 0.0539 | 8.97 | |
| 0.9458 | 156.20 | |
| -0.0007 | -1.51 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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