3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:18.90% (+0.77%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0023 | -1.55 | |
| 0.0473 | 32.77 | |
| 0.9532 | 723.24 | |
| 0.4115 | 12.54 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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