5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:17.73% (+1.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0020 | -1.49 | |
| 0.0425 | 37.01 | |
| 0.9574 | 899.85 | |
| 0.3998 | 11.41 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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