5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
21.54%
increased by 1.77%
1 Week
21.56%
increased by 1.79%
1 Month
21.66%
increased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7477 | 8.99 | |
| 0.0475 | 60.86 | |
| 0.9977 | 3,576.05 | |
| 7.1269 | 15.27 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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