6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
8.56%
increased by 1.69%
1 Week
8.73%
increased by 1.86%
1 Month
9.35%
increased by 2.48%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6032 | 12.30 | |
| 0.0774 | 103.91 | |
| 0.9987 | 9,888.02 | |
| 4.2552 | 73.34 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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