6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:8.83% (+0.21%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0127 | 18.21 | |
| 0.1111 | 31.00 | |
| 0.8889 | 292.79 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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