1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:14.37% (+0.07%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0119 | 16.33 | |
| 0.0825 | 29.33 | |
| 0.9175 | 387.12 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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