1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:16.37% (+0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2465 | 2.27 | |
| 0.0929 | 9.16 | |
| 0.9067 | 89.10 | |
| -0.0577 | -4.25 | |
| 0.1419 | 6.27 | |
| -0.1783 | -9.16 | |
| 0.1680 | 8.65 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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