1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:14.65% (+0.52%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.0257 | 9.18 | |
| 0.8243 | 152.39 | |
| 0.1161 | 22.37 | |
| 0.1262 | 6.27 | |
| 1.0000 | 69.39 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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