ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	46
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0266	9.72***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8234	152.72***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1152	22.42***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1295	6.42***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	1.0000	69.60***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

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1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other 1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year Analyses