1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
18.77%
increased by 5.53%
1 Week
19.07%
increased by 5.83%
1 Month
19.76%
increased by 6.52%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.0273 | 9.77 | |
| 0.8227 | 151.73 | |
| 0.1147 | 22.14 | |
| 0.1267 | 6.35 | |
| 1.0000 | 69.85 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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