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V-Lab

2Y US Treasury CMT 2 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

21.53%

increased by 1.27%

1 Week

21.61%

increased by 1.35%

1 Month

21.92%

increased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 2Y US Treasury CMT 2 Year MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time