20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:13.49% (-0.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 101 | ||
| 0.0141 | 16.35 | |
| 0.9533 | 647.15 | |
| 0.0333 | 19.25 | |
| 0.0841 | 0.50 | |
| 0.9685 | 0.53 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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