5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:18.70% (+0.79%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.0188 | 16.56 | |
| 0.9611 | 1,307.63 | |
| 0.0400 | 20.47 | |
| 8.6511 | 1.97 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8160 | 8.53 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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