5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
20.03%
increased by 0.47%
1 Week
20.08%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
20.27%
increased by 0.71%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.0189 | 16.60 | |
| 0.9611 | 1,286.67 | |
| 0.0395 | 20.44 | |
| 10.0000 | 0.90 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.5153 | 0.96 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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