ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 3 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index

CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index

CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	86
αARCH	0.0156	2.57**
βGARCH	0.9244	80.99***
γleverage	0.0554	4.93***
λ₁tau intercept	0.1006	2.66***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.7984	14.36***
λ₃tau persistence	0.1990	3.76***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	86
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0156	2.57**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9244	80.99***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0554	4.93***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1006	2.66***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.7984	14.36***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.1990	3.76***

V-Lab

3Y US Treasury 3 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other 3Y US Treasury 3 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded Analyses