ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index

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ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market 6 Month Option Volatility Estimate Index

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA High Yield 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 1-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 3-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CDX/CBOE NA Investment Grade 6-Month Volatility Index (BP Volatility)

CBOE Volatility Index

CBOE NASDAQ-100 Volatility Index

CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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CBOE 1-Day Volatility Index

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CBOE Skew Index

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	86
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0152	10.10***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9099	267.78***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0665	21.43***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.1223	4.62***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.9370	7.23***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0606	0.45

V-Lab

2Y US Treasury 2 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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