1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:13.88% (+0.22%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0181 | 12.87 | |
| 0.1655 | 38.55 | |
| 0.9983 | 3,071.68 | |
| -0.0503 | -15.59 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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