1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:6.28% (-0.51%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0050 | -2.65 | |
| 0.2652 | 14.00 | |
| 0.8330 | 116.97 | |
| 0.1838 | 10.34 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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