10Y US Treasury CMT 10 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
16.90%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Week
16.94%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
17.12%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0033 | 4.48 | |
| 0.0199 | 17.35 | |
| 0.9626 | 997.48 | |
| 0.0344 | 12.87 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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