10Y US Treasury CMT 10 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:16.09% (+0.39%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0032 | 4.35 | |
| 0.0198 | 17.14 | |
| 0.9625 | 990.25 | |
| 0.0348 | 13.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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