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V-Lab

3M US Treasury CMT 3 Month GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

7.12%

increased by 1.24%

1 Week

7.47%

increased by 1.59%

1 Month

8.75%

increased by 2.87%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 3M US Treasury CMT 3 Month GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time