V-Lab
Grupo Carso Sab De Cv GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
38.74%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
39.36%
increased by 0.27%
1 Month
41.06%
increased by 1.97%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 4, 2008 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 90% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4294 | 14.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0511 | 10.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8709 | 160.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0459 | 4.17*** |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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