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V-Lab

Voler CAR Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

21,962.91

increased by 16,494.71

1 Week

12,227.64

increased by 6,759.44

1 Month

6,278.32

increased by 810.12

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Voler CAR Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 19, 2025 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6633
24.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5170
59.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-10.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

12,312.8100

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days