Voler CAR Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
21,962.91
increased by 16,494.71
1 Week
12,227.64
increased by 6,759.44
1 Month
6,278.32
increased by 810.12
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 19, 2025 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6633 | 24.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5170 | 59.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -10.04*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 12,312.8100 |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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