V-Lab
United Distributors PAK Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
9,612.16
1 Week
5,968.96
1 Month
5,000.23
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 19, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1772 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6302 | 21.02*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1772 | -0.25 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.58 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.55 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.719
Half-life:
2 days
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