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United Distributors PAK Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

9,612.16

increased by 3,634.05

1 Week

5,968.96

decreased by 9.15

1 Month

5,000.23

decreased by 977.88

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of United Distributors PAK Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 2012 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1772
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6302
21.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1772
-0.25
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.55
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.719

Half-life:

2 days