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V-Lab

Trf Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

4,462.09

decreased by 1,237.74

1 Week

5,017.08

decreased by 682.75

1 Month

5,582.03

decreased by 117.80

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trf Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 26, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2689
0.17
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5732
9.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2689
-0.08
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2648
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7353
1.94*

Persistence:

0.708

Half-life:

2 days