Skip to main content
V-Lab

Searefico Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9,124.24

increased by 7,582.44

1 Week

3,254.93

increased by 1,713.13

1 Month

2,177.96

increased by 636.16

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Searefico Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 22, 2009 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1857
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8061
12.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1857
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0405
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9595
47.01***

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days