Skip to main content
V-Lab

Searefico Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

5,506.19

increased by 4,616.43

1 Week

1,686.75

increased by 796.99

1 Month

844.08

decreased by 45.68

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 02:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Searefico Corporation ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 22, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1871
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8047
11.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1871
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0410
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9590
43.37***

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days