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Sierra Cables PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

734.25

decreased by 33.21

1 Week

783.74

increased by 16.28

1 Month

1,729.68

increased by 962.22

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Sierra Cables PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1831
2.51**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9034
73.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1831
-1.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0007
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9703
77.59***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days