V-Lab
Sierra Cables PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
734.25
1 Week
783.74
1 Month
1,729.68
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2010 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1831 | 2.51** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9034 | 73.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1831 | -1.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0007 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9703 | 77.59*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
Other Sierra Cables PLC Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities