Reliable Data Services Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
8,400.25
1 Week
5,639.99
1 Month
4,815.70
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 25, 2017 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3012 | 0.69 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5918 | 35.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3012 | -0.34 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1055 | 1.30 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8886 | 11.89*** |
Persistence:
0.742
Half-life:
2 days
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