Skip to main content
V-Lab

Pan African Resources PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

4,902.87

decreased by 148.47

1 Week

5,171.54

increased by 120.20

1 Month

5,783.07

increased by 731.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pan African Resources PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 677 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.40
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0089
4.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9657
262.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0487
8.74***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

677 days