Skip to main content
V-Lab

Our Bond Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

140,948.10

decreased by 40,710.00

1 Week

127,512.27

decreased by 54,145.83

1 Month

71,872.69

decreased by 109,785.41

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2322
4.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7541
42.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0274
0.36

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-