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V-Lab

Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

21,143.19

decreased by 12,975.55

1 Week

99,768.56

increased by 65,649.82

1 Month

122,103.07

increased by 87,984.33

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3351
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2847
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0485
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4550
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0009
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2075

Persistence:

0.596

Half-life:

1 days