Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
52,294.91
decreased by 324,072.89
1 Week
186,707.97
decreased by 189,659.83
1 Month
115,580.34
decreased by 260,787.46
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 4, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
μ
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 1.0000 | 794.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.20 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -218.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 141,016.3000 |
Persistence:
0.750
Half-life:
2 days
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