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V-Lab

Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

52,294.91

decreased by 324,072.89

1 Week

186,707.97

decreased by 189,659.83

1 Month

115,580.34

decreased by 260,787.46

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Our Bond Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

1.0000
794.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.20
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-218.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

141,016.3000

Persistence:

0.750

Half-life:

2 days