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LH Financial Group PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

7,351.34

increased by 3,509.07

1 Week

4,005.31

increased by 163.04

1 Month

2,754.56

decreased by 1,087.71

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of LH Financial Group PCL ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2011 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1578
8.94***
βGARCH0.7436
27.12***
γleverage0.0141
0.64
λ₁tau intercept8.2476
1.62
λ₂forecast adj.0.2277
3.40***
λ₃tau persistence0.7723
11.80***

0.908

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1578
8.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7436
27.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0141
0.64
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.2476
1.62
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2277
3.40***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7723
11.80***

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days