V-Lab
Lithium Americas Corp -Spn ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
6,433.35
1 Week
5,725.42
1 Month
4,216.54
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1527 | 4.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8180 | 72.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0968 | -2.12** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.1402 | 1.50 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9964 | 215.12*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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