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Lithium Americas Corp -Spn Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026

1 Day

6,485.76

increased by 250.14

1 Week

6,314.82

increased by 79.20

1 Month

4,617.22

decreased by 1,618.40

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Lithium Americas Corp -Spn ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 4, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 205% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0489
5.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8948
228.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1003
6.25***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days