V-Lab
Lithium Americas Corp -Spn Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
6,485.76
increased by 250.14
1 Week
6,314.82
increased by 79.20
1 Month
4,617.22
decreased by 1,618.40
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 4, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 205% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0489 | 5.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8948 | 228.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1003 | 6.25*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
113 days
Other Lithium Americas Corp -Spn Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities