Skip to main content
V-Lab

Rojukiss International Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

2,456.64

decreased by 44.72

1 Week

2,808.11

increased by 306.75

1 Month

4,868.85

increased by 2,367.49

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rojukiss International ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 19, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 139% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0940
17.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8407
205.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1305
11.89***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days