V-Lab
Rojukiss International ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3,691.03
1 Week
3,657.48
1 Month
5,823.33
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 19, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2224 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7127 | 7.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2224 | -0.03 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.07 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1909 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8091 | 0.68 |
Persistence:
0.824
Half-life:
4 days
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