V-Lab
Asuransi Jiwa Syar ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, June 30th, 2026
1 Day
547.96
1 Week
518.04
1 Month
237.11
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2017 to Jun 26, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2907 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6162 | 3.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2907 | -0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.2692 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2834 | 0.04 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6840 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
0.762
Half-life:
3 days
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