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Asuransi Jiwa Syar Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, June 30th, 2026

1 Day

536.16

decreased by 69.27

1 Week

434.01

decreased by 171.42

1 Month

204.31

decreased by 401.12

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Asuransi Jiwa Syar ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2017 to Jun 26, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
6.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1694
6.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8117
74.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0378
1.17

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-