V-Lab
Isrotel Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
11,522.65
1 Week
8,074.67
1 Month
6,755.20
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2007 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.6921 | 2.17** |
| βGARCH | 0.5069 | 7.83*** |
| γleverage | -0.4302 | -0.82 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0804 | 1.52 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9196 | 21.77*** |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6921 | 2.17** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5069 | 7.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4302 | -0.82 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0804 | 1.52 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9196 | 21.77*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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