V-Lab
Isrotel Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
9,118.98
1 Week
9,599.44
1 Month
7,303.47
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2437 | 3.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8553 | 44.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2437 | -2.08** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.71 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4890 | 16.39*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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