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Isrotel Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,377.55

decreased by 39.52

1 Week

4,238.04

decreased by 179.03

1 Month

3,611.60

decreased by 805.47

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Isrotel Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2007 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6741
0.02
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0441
0.92
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9671
135.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0224
-0.38

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-