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V-Lab

Iba - Ion Beam Applications ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

39,435.02

decreased by 5,243.56

1 Week

41,707.31

decreased by 2,971.27

1 Month

36,512.67

decreased by 8,165.91

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Iba - Ion Beam Applications ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1195
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7644
3.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1195
-0.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3509
0.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6491
0.16

Persistence:

0.824

Half-life:

4 days