V-Lab
Iba - Ion Beam Applications ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
36,489.67
1 Week
37,596.23
1 Month
44,961.03
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1998 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1201 | 10.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7614 | 24.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1201 | -6.50*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3583 | 5.17*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6417 | 9.69*** |
Persistence:
0.821
Half-life:
4 days
Other Iba - Ion Beam Applications Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities