Skip to main content
V-Lab

Hira Textile Mills Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

3,569.67

decreased by 1,133.18

1 Week

6,641.77

increased by 1,938.92

1 Month

7,678.15

increased by 2,975.30

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hira Textile Mills Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2310 trading days (~9.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5229
4.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6749
82.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3963
-1.82*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0077
28.31***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9832
396.30***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2310 days