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Hira Textile Mills Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

3,114.04

decreased by 679.83

1 Week

4,454.36

increased by 660.49

1 Month

5,292.49

increased by 1,498.62

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hira Textile Mills Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 136% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1231
11.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7934
112.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1671
5.35***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-