How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	66
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0515	5.49***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9412	287.32***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0337	-1.36
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	3.07***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	1.0000	4.15***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.05

V-Lab

HelloFresh SE ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other HelloFresh SE Analyses