hSenid Business Solutions PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
22,129.91
1 Week
13,955.29
1 Month
6,619.24
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 1.98** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6931 | 112.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -1.08 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9957 | 252.90*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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