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hSenid Business Solutions PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

10,080.70

increased by 1,587.54

1 Week

8,013.17

decreased by 479.99

1 Month

3,868.52

decreased by 4,624.64

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of hSenid Business Solutions PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 131% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1147
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8098
65.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1509
3.98***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days