hSenid Business Solutions PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
10,080.70
1 Week
8,013.17
1 Month
3,868.52
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 131% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.61 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1147 | 7.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8098 | 65.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1509 | 3.98*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other hSenid Business Solutions PLC Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities