{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	96
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2336	5.25***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7779	119.99***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.2336	-2.59***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	1.5467	7.39***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.01
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9947	622.47***

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