Fugro Nv ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
3,825.88
1 Week
3,793.34
1 Month
3,966.11
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0852 | 4.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8811 | 56.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0852 | -5.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.0669 | 19.02*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9938 | 259.94*** |
Persistence:
0.924
Half-life:
9 days
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