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Fugro Nv Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

5,045.52

increased by 69.83

1 Week

5,030.08

increased by 54.39

1 Month

5,108.51

increased by 132.82

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Fugro Nv ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 35546 trading days (~141.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.90
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0320
6.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9301
345.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0757
6.69***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

35546 days