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V-Lab

Ellington Credit Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, April 1st, 2025

1 Day

3,292.80

decreased by 76.82

1 Week

2,900.28

decreased by 469.34

1 Month

2,142.75

decreased by 1,226.87

Analysis last updated: Monday, March 31, 2025 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ellington Credit Co ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2013 to Mar 28, 2025

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1499
0.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7591
35.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1499
-0.13
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.75
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5320
0.72
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4680
0.38

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days