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Development Invt Constr ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

5,921.77

increased by 1,072.67

1 Week

5,436.14

increased by 587.04

1 Month

6,254.22

increased by 1,405.12

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Development Invt Constr ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2011 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.1253
6.08***
βGARCH0.9159
75.60***
γleverage-0.1239
-3.51***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.38
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.02
λ₃tau persistence0.9572
79.27***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
6.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9159
75.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1239
-3.51***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.38
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9572
79.27***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days