Carasso Motors Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Sunday, July 12th, 2026
1 Day
5,252.99
1 Week
4,645.46
1 Month
5,908.42
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 22, 2011 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 8.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8989 | 364.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1166 | -7.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9966 | 1,472.13*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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