Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Central Finance Co (Lanka) ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

59,630.97

decreased by 427.03

1 Week

59,961.22

decreased by 96.78

1 Month

60,077.69

increased by 19.69

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Central Finance Co (Lanka) ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0921
2.03**
βGARCH0.4710
3.16***
γleverage-0.0921
-0.04
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9999
54.32***

0.517

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0921
2.03**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4710
3.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0921
-0.04
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9999
54.32***

Persistence:

0.517

Half-life:

1 days